Recent Posts

  1. June 5, 2017

    A countless number of commentaries written in the past eight years have been dedicated to the threat of disinflation/deflation. But why is disinflation/deflation so essential? The short answer is that disinflation, the slowing rate at which prices are increasing, leads… More >>

  2. May 30, 2017

    Last week during a CNBC interview, the famous Nobel Prize winner and Yale University professor, Robert Shiller, said, “It [the market] could go up 50 percent from here. That’s what it did around 2000; after it reached this level, it went up another 50 percent.” [i] I’m… More >>

  3. May 22, 2017

    Usually, when discussing macroeconomic trends, we focus on fiscal or monetary policy, taxes, or political risks both domestically and abroad. However, we often don’t spend enough time discussing inflation.  Inflation has a significant impact on equity investments.  Take… More >>

  4. May 15, 2017

    It seems that the European Union (EU) is breathing a bit more easily now that centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron has won the French presidency in last weekend’s election. Macron’s pro-EU stand will likely help strengthen the EU as a whole, which will likely put the… More >>

  5. May 8, 2017

    The strength of the latest jobs report continues the trend in the U.S. labor force.  In April 2017, the U.S. economy added 211,000 more jobs.  Hospitality/leisure, professional and business services along with healthcare showed solid growth. [i] The unemployment rate… More >>

  6. May 1, 2017

    Economically speaking, the first quarter of 2017 was simply uneventful.  First quarter 2017 GDP growth was nothing shy of anemic.  In fact, it seems to go hand in hand with the frail upward trend of economic recovery following the 2008 financial crisis. During the first… More >>

  7. April 24, 2017

    On the back of the completed first round of the French election, markets both in the United States and abroad are having a great day.  Polling seems to show an improving lead for Emmanuel Macron over Marine Le Pen, which has certainly sparked another advantage for… More >>

  8. April 17, 2017

    It may come as a surprise to those who don’t follow the ups and downs of the stock market on a regular basis, but since the Federal Reserve raised the Federal funds rate three times since December 2015, long-term interest rates have dropped. That’s right – what was… More >>

  9. April 10, 2017

    Simmering behind the political intrigue of our fiscal stimulus narrative, and the reassertion of the U.S. military presence in the world as a force for good, lays a hidden paradox: conflicting signals for market growth. According to Moody’s Analytics, the latest… More >>

  10. April 3, 2017

      It’s official.  We have concluded the first trading day of the second quarter in 2017.  We would like to take this opportunity to present you with our Q2 2017 Look Ahead. For a PDF, click here. For our audio and video presentation, click here. Below, we’ve highlighted… More >>

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