Recent Posts

  1. August 6, 2018

    Trade war rhetoric continues to dominate the headlines, and in some respects has put a damper on capital flowing into U.S. equities; perhaps this is overshadowing the fact that we continue to see strong U.S. corporate earnings growth. [i] [ii] On a positive note,… More >>

  2. July 30, 2018

    This past week was filled with market-moving surprises. First, Facebook announced slower growth ahead and lower margins due to increased spending on security and data integrity.  Following this announcement, the company lost approximately $120 billion of their market… More >>

  3. July 23, 2018

      A few times a year I like to call out some bad behavior, but not the normal, everyday type of bad behavior. I’m talking about the bad behavior of investors. You might wonder what behavior has to do with investing.  Investing is simple: buy low and sell high. That’s… More >>

  4. July 16, 2018

    The last couple of weeks of trade war rhetoric has turned decisively real.  Our view was, and still is, much of the trade war talk is overplayed.  However, we are now seeing the first phase of implementation. [i] Consistent with the chart above, the United States has… More >>

  5. July 9, 2018

    “The Fed’s High-Wire Act” Today marks the start of the first full week of trading for Q3 2018.  We’d like to take this opportunity to present you with our Q3 2018 Look Ahead. For a PDF presentation, click here. For a narrated video presentation, click here. Below,… More >>

  6. July 2, 2018

    The Federal Reserve got the green light to continue raising interest rates as May inflation reports [x] showed it had finally reached its 2 percent target inflation rate after five years of waiting. [i] [ii] [iii]   Given that the Fed has met its inflation objective, I… More >>

  7. June 25, 2018

    The trade war rhetoric has heated up, although we continue to maintain our view that this is more of a food fight than an actual fight. With trade war tensions dominating news headlines for the better part of 2018, the U.S. large-cap indices have shown low- to… More >>

  8. June 18, 2018

    U.S. equity markets have remained relatively flat year-to-date, despite the phenomenal corporate earnings we’ve seen this year.  Just consider this: The S&P 500 index is up 3.33 percent.  [i] All the while, earnings per share growth in Q1 came in at more than 20… More >>

  9. June 11, 2018

    Last week the Federal Reserve reported U.S. household net worth had crossed over the $100 trillion level for the first time. [i] [ii] That is astonishing, particularly when you consider that U.S. household net worth was under $100 trillion as recently as Q4 2017, and… More >>

  10. June 4, 2018

      Donald Trump’s economic agenda looks to be gaining significant traction.  While U.S. GDP growth came in at 2.2 percent for Q1 2018, the underlying metrics look strong, especially consumption and fixed investments. [i] For Q1, consumption added 0.71 percent to the… More >>

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