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Our Blog: The Last Four...

[Blog Archive]
  1. April 21, 2025

    A Chance at a Soft Landing

    The US Consumer once again contradicted their self-reported dour mood and continued to spend in March. Retail sales were up 4.6% year over year. Some of this was a pull forward in consumption driven by the tariffs on autos, although almost every segment saw increases in… More >>

  2. April 14, 2025

    Man Made Chaos

    Consumer confidence took another perilous drop in last week’s Consumer Sentiment Index from the University of Michigan.  This decline represents a multi-month drop in the consumer's attitude.  In fact, consumer sentiment has been down over 30% since December 2024 and is… More >>

  3. April 7, 2025

    Is the Price of Bananas Going Up?

      It certainly looks like that will be the case with the current Trump tariffs.  The formula used was an oddity and caught many off guard.  The division by two is driven by the Administration wanting to be “reasonable” according to President Trump.  In any case,… More >>

  4. March 31, 2025

    What Lies Ahead in Q2 2025

    As we step into Q2 2025, the economic landscape is shaped by a myriad of factors. Our latest Q2 2025 Look Ahead report dives deep into the nuanced interplay between consumer sentiment, policy uncertainty, and the potential for interest rate cuts.  1.  Consumer Sentiment vs.… More >>

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