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Recent Posts

  1. January 13, 2020

    Last week, we presented our Q1 2020 Look Ahead (link here) that was predominantly focused on the U.S. markets. Over the last 12 months we at Phillips and Company have made a concerted effort to explore China and its domestic stock market for equity returns. It’s a… More >>

  2. January 6, 2020

    I like to fly fish and have had the privilege of fishing some of the most amazing rivers in the world. One specific spot to angle for a really big fish is the confluence of two rivers. This spot is easy feeding for the fish but, hard for the angler due to crosscurrents,… More >>

  3. December 30, 2019

    I know the title of this blog might be controversial and in some regards it may not be entirely accurate. As I wrote last week, Trump threw in his cards on China and in many respects foreign affairs experts are dubbing Trump a “paper tiger.” It’s hard to suggest Trump… More >>

  4. December 23, 2019

    It’s hard to talk about recessions when the U.S. stock market hit record highs last week, [i][ii] however, and quite unusually, there is a recession brewing in one important industry: Freight. Cass Information Systems, a leading freight payment and logistics provider,… More >>

  5. December 16, 2019

    Last week was a significant week for global trade as the trade war with China took a very predictable turn with President Trump crying “uncle.” Realizing the Midwestern farmer has turned decidedly against the President when it comes to trade, he did the only thing he… More >>

  6. December 9, 2019

      Around the holidays, you might enjoy eggnog, mistletoe, or other traditions. Wall Street enjoys traditions as well.   One of the most dubious is the end-of-year tradition of making meaningless predictions. What will happen in the world of finance? Where will markets… More >>

  7. December 2, 2019

      We certainly hope you all enjoyed a wonderful Thanksgiving with family and friends. Perhaps like the other 165 million Americans (according to the National Retail Federation), you chose to do some shopping in what is now a 5-day shopping event. [i]     The early… More >>

  8. November 25, 2019

      With the major U.S. equity market indices at or near all-time highs and valuations appearing stretched, you might be wondering what’s possible for the future of returns. Based upon where we are now with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, future equity returns appear to be… More >>

  9. November 18, 2019

      Last week gave us another look into the psyche of the consumer as the two largest economies in the world both reported strong retail sales. The combination of China and the United States make up almost 40% of global GDP, as shown in the infographic below. [i]      … More >>

  10. November 11, 2019

      With the U.S. stock market reaching fresh highs in the last week[i], attention is turning to the large trove of cash sitting on the sidelines in money market and traditional savings accounts. As of Friday, money market assets topped $3.5 trillion, the highest level… More >>

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