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This week the Federal Reserve will put its’ next installment in place to fight inflation that it mostly can’t impact. They will raise the Fed Funds rate by 75 bps and much of that is to diminish consumer demand in hopes of cooling inflationary pressures. The Fed readily… More >>

The U.S. Dollar, relative to other countries, has been on a tear in the past year. The U.S. trade weighted dollar is up over 10% this year and nearly 20% off the bottom in 2021. 1 The strength in the U.S. Dollar is always relative to how other countries’ currencies are… More >>

We kick off Q2 earnings season this week, and it should be the bottom of the earnings cycle. 1 Expectations are for S&P 500 earnings to come in around 4.3% for the quarter, marking the weakest earnings report since pandemic earnings in Q4 2020. Going forward… More >>

Our Q3 2022 Look Ahead is available for review. The video link is here and the PDF version is here. In this post, we highlight some key themes we see in the coming quarter. We think we are in the midst of a growth cycle detour. 1 We believe we will have a period of… More >>