Recent Posts

  1. November 11, 2019

      With the U.S. stock market reaching fresh highs in the last week[i], attention is turning to the large trove of cash sitting on the sidelines in money market and traditional savings accounts. As of Friday, money market assets topped $3.5 trillion, the highest level… More >>

  2. November 4, 2019

      Last week provided critical data supporting where we are in the economic cycle and earnings recovery. On Wednesday, the first estimate of third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) was released, showing the U.S. economy grew 1.9% year-over-year. While growth has… More >>

  3. October 28, 2019

    With progress being made on Phase 1 of Trump’s trade war with China is there a chance they could be at a cyclical low? Both Fidelity and Moody’s believe China has entered, or is about to enter, a recession. [i] [ii]     While recessions are traditionally defined as two… More >>

  4. October 21, 2019

    There are a lot of headlines that can and are fueling the pessimist within all of us. That creeping, silent voice in our head that says, “danger ahead.” The fascinating thing about pessimism is it can act as a compelling emotion by helping us act with caution. Take the… More >>

  5. October 14, 2019

    Just about everyone is asking the same question: How long can this economic expansion last? One pf the bigger inquisitions is coming from President Trump, and, while he may not be asking directly, he is certainly asking indirectly. Just look at his immediate statement after… More >>

  6. October 7, 2019

      With all of the noise and turmoil in the third quarter, the S&P 500 ended with a small 1.2% gain. Between trade wars, oil disruptions, impeachment proceedings, and weakening domestic manufacturing data, it’s a wonder we didn’t experience more of a drawdown than… More >>

  7. September 30, 2019

      The long-awaited throwdown of partisan politics, accountability, or retribution – depending on your point of view – has started. I’d dare not venture into the partisan outcomes, but rather focus our attention on the possible economic and market implications of this… More >>

  8. September 23, 2019

      Ultimately, earnings growth matters. After all, investors only own the future. When you buy a stock, you’re purchasing a fractional share of future cash flow streams that the company generates from earnings and dividends. You’ve bought it at its current earnings, but… More >>

  9. September 16, 2019

      Despite the shock and sharp rally in oil prices due to the Saudi Arabian oil facility attack, there is some underlying good news to consider at this stage of the cycle. [i] The majority of economic releases last week showed improvement from the previous period or… More >>

  10. September 9, 2019

      Regardless of what economic, geopolitical, corporate, Trump tweet, or market-moving event occurs, all equity investors need to be prepared for risk. Risk is the underlying ingredient that creates excess returns over “risk-free” assets like government bonds. Here’s a… More >>

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