Recent Posts

  1. January 27, 2020

      China has been plagued with what appears to be a fast spreading virus with an epicenter in the city of Wuhan. The loss of any life is tragic at any scale, let alone as the result of a virus like the current one being closely monitored in China. While this post might be… More >>

  2. January 21, 2020

      Fourth quarter earnings season just began and with any luck, the year-long earnings recession will be coming to an end. [i] If expectations are the guide, Q4 earnings should decline around 2.1% year-over-year, and estimates have been revised downward over the last… More >>

  3. January 13, 2020

    Last week, we presented our Q1 2020 Look Ahead (link here) that was predominantly focused on the U.S. markets. Over the last 12 months we at Phillips and Company have made a concerted effort to explore China and its domestic stock market for equity returns. It’s a… More >>

  4. January 6, 2020

    I like to fly fish and have had the privilege of fishing some of the most amazing rivers in the world. One specific spot to angle for a really big fish is the confluence of two rivers. This spot is easy feeding for the fish but, hard for the angler due to crosscurrents,… More >>

  5. December 30, 2019

    I know the title of this blog might be controversial and in some regards it may not be entirely accurate. As I wrote last week, Trump threw in his cards on China and in many respects foreign affairs experts are dubbing Trump a “paper tiger.” It’s hard to suggest Trump… More >>

  6. December 23, 2019

    It’s hard to talk about recessions when the U.S. stock market hit record highs last week, [i][ii] however, and quite unusually, there is a recession brewing in one important industry: Freight. Cass Information Systems, a leading freight payment and logistics provider,… More >>

  7. December 16, 2019

    Last week was a significant week for global trade as the trade war with China took a very predictable turn with President Trump crying “uncle.” Realizing the Midwestern farmer has turned decidedly against the President when it comes to trade, he did the only thing he… More >>

  8. December 9, 2019

      Around the holidays, you might enjoy eggnog, mistletoe, or other traditions. Wall Street enjoys traditions as well.   One of the most dubious is the end-of-year tradition of making meaningless predictions. What will happen in the world of finance? Where will markets… More >>

  9. December 2, 2019

      We certainly hope you all enjoyed a wonderful Thanksgiving with family and friends. Perhaps like the other 165 million Americans (according to the National Retail Federation), you chose to do some shopping in what is now a 5-day shopping event. [i]     The early… More >>

  10. November 25, 2019

      With the major U.S. equity market indices at or near all-time highs and valuations appearing stretched, you might be wondering what’s possible for the future of returns. Based upon where we are now with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, future equity returns appear to be… More >>

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