2024 was always going to be the year of the interest rate. Coming into the year we knew of the large discrepancy between what the Fed was forecasting for rate cuts and what Wall Street believed was the making of market risk. 1
The discrepancy is in the shaded area.… More >>
Last week’s economic data threw a splash of cold water on the U.S. inflation debate and interest rate picture. Both headline Producer Prices (PPI) and Consumer Prices (CPI) rose more than expected.
On the producer side, both food and energy prices are actually dropping,… More >>
The S&P 500 hit a historic high, crossing over the 5,000 level, last week. It begs the question; are valuations overextended in U.S. Large Cap equities? By most measures, the answer is a resounding yes. It’s an answer most in asset management dread as it requires some… More >>
The January Jobs Report was released on Friday and the headline number put an end to the March Fed interest rate cut, as the U.S. economy added 355k jobs – much stronger than expectations. 1
Oddly enough, we had the same type of jobs surprise in January of 2023. There… More >>