Blog

The Biden administration's tax plan is finally coming into clarity after nearly 100 days in office. Just to level set this post, his tax plan had been widely distributed during his campaign. Generally speaking, it should come as no surprise that taxes are going to go up.… More >>

It’s a rare occasion when we as investors get to experience in real time why markets have always gone up over long periods of time. [i] With over 30 years as a professional investor on behalf of myself and others, I wish I knew at day one what I know today. When… More >>

Adding nearly 1 million jobs in the latest jobs report (including revisions from the prior month) would suggest we are fast on our way to a full recovery. [i] Under normal circumstances, investors would be quick to conclude rising rates are on the horizon to stem… More >>

We just published our Q2 2021 Look Ahead, you can view the presentation here or watch our narrated version here. Consumer Strength – Close to LiftoffThe coming quarter will be a period of rapid reopening, with COVID-19 vaccine availability occurring much faster than… More >>

Since February 2020, China has been leading the way in the recovery from COVID-19 and economic re-opening. New confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Mainland China have been near zero since the beginning of February. [i] China has achieved a post-pandemic recovery in most… More >>

The recent high-level talks in Alaska between Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, and their Chinese counterparts are being viewed as a continuation of the Trump-era rhetoric. Certainly, from the public statements, it would appear to… More >>

The odds of seeing a triple play in baseball are something like 1 in 325. It’s an incredibly rare event—on par with passing important legislation in Congress. [i] It is remarkable the U.S. has completed what I consider the unlikely economic triple play: passing… More >>

In an effort to put a label on what is going on with credit markets, U.S. investors are in a quandary. The yield curve has steepened over the last 45 days. [i] The U.S. 7-year Treasury auction had an anemic showing on February 25th, with only 2 buyers for every dollar… More >>

There is an inflection point, of sorts, occurring in U.S. capital markets these days. It is abundantly clear that investors are facing a choice with respect to interest rates and equity returns. We anticipated much of this when we published our Q1 2021 Look Ahead. A… More >>

With equity markets hitting all-time highs, bitcoin touching all-time highs, and COVID-19 cases collapsing, the world would seem near perfect for investors. [i] [ii] [iii] Specifically, retail sales are clearly heating up in January and across several segments. It would… More >>